Death Blow To Paul Ryan's Presidential Chances

Paul Ryan was not my first choice for VP in the 2012 Presidential Horserace. He was a good choice, but he wasn't my favorite. I thought in a year that Hispanic voters would come on strong, that Marco Rubio would have been a winner. I think I was right in that assumption.

As we get set for 2016, or what I've dubbed "Hillary vs. The Who?", early indicators show that Paul Ryan is leading the pack in Iowa. That my friends is exactly the reason to run away from the guy and support somebody else.

Why you ask? It doesn't matter what side of the aisle you sit on. Remember Howard Dean? He won Iowa. Then promptly threw his candidacy into the trash with his raucous speech on how he was going to New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and on and on ending with a "EEEEEE-HA!" that I think is reverberating throughout the cornfields. No. Winners in Iowa may have the upper hand in the early going of a presidential primary, but they are rarely winners of the nomination. Look at Governor Mike Huckabee in 2008....he won Iowa. And by South Carolina, John McCain was beating him, relegating him to a show on Fox News Channel. In 2012, it was Rick Santorum who won the state after a contentious recount. Where has he been the last couple of years?

Yes...Barack Obama did win Iowa in 2008 over Hillary, and yes, it did start his victory march to the White House, but that was on the Democratic side, and that was not what recent history has shown us. Iowans tend to go for the more conservative, more fundamentalist candidates pretty much every time out of the box.

So, who does that favor in 2016? Look to the bottom of the polls. Ted Cruz is sitting at the bottom right now. Over 30% of Iowans say they don't know who he is, despite the fact he's made several trips to the Hawkeye State in recent months. Also down there, Marco Rubio. He's mired at the bottom because of his attempts to get an immigration bill passed. Iowans don't like it one bit.

You can only take two things from Iowa's Caucuses. 1. They have a very weird way of choosing a presidential candidate, and 2. They people that usually win those Caucuses traditionally are done by Super Tuesday. With that in mind, start thinking who you would like to go up against Hillary to stop her "coronation" to the White House.

Which brings me to a second point. Whomever gets the nod from the GOP, should already be starting to bring out the dirt on that woman. She has enough of it. From her days at Rose Law Firm in Little Rock, to a failed health care initiative in 1993 to Vince Foster's death to her time as Secretary of State, which was an utter failure. If the GOP can't beat Hillary Clinton with all the baggage she's dragging around behind her, they ought to fold as a party! Personally, I think it'll be a fun horserace to watch Joe Biden take her on. He's savvy, stupid, and tenacious. You don't get to be vice president without some talent. And he's a MUCH better campaigner than she ever was! Should be an interesting next couple of years!